Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-08 11.178768 12.468141 13.859578 15.474977 17.301569 19.306079 21.676737
2025-06-15 9.385160 11.147192 13.184938 15.724668 18.817620 22.477533 27.159347
2025-06-22 7.797969 9.779972 12.214449 15.444788 19.648654 24.974779 32.298334
2025-06-29 6.507072 8.563944 11.229686 14.972448 20.147120 27.130136 37.404062
2025-07-06 5.573660 7.661940 10.503586 14.705726 20.851296 29.650470 43.457081
2025-07-13 5.030213 7.203996 10.301506 15.114663 22.545987 33.818803 52.668007
2025-07-20 4.583116 6.815598 10.135130 15.537266 24.314900 38.382445 63.391072
2025-07-27 4.151220 6.387715 9.844687 15.714502 25.714353 42.587025 74.375069
2025-08-03 3.708130 5.882626 9.362735 15.503158 26.425439 45.748216 84.172446
2025-08-10 3.323246 5.421634 8.889245 15.229494 26.971541 48.692863 94.166945
2025-08-17 2.995215 5.014755 8.452916 14.952421 27.455987 51.588075 104.665717
2025-08-24 2.732172 4.687924 8.112958 14.797271 28.135663 54.959694 116.879536
2025-08-31 2.506806 4.407996 7.833247 14.736494 29.033724 59.022651 131.795340
2025-09-07 2.371220 4.275513 7.807718 15.167129 31.010555 65.743300 154.609802
2025-09-14 2.181891 4.021507 7.522141 15.033241 31.769709 69.942196 172.405124
2025-09-21 1.988912 3.739746 7.150034 14.667042 31.957124 72.869443 187.732220
2025-09-28 1.835665 3.519523 6.875078 14.470100 32.497420 76.746094 206.713529
2025-10-05 1.759600 3.445874 6.890861 14.918041 34.642696 85.066928 240.857579
2025-10-12 1.689344 3.376404 6.906759 15.368084 36.875255 94.101450 280.023317
2025-10-19 1.603857 3.265863 6.821248 15.567035 38.506312 101.868480 317.721234
2025-10-26 1.496050 3.096589 6.587495 15.374381 39.073777 106.762444 347.435919
2025-11-02 1.393504 2.929062 6.340004 15.114579 39.417795 111.089961 376.672370
2025-11-09 1.299825 2.772621 6.101907 14.847620 39.700614 115.310935 407.052482